Living in Beijing

April 23, 2008

China’s yuan hits new high against US dollar

Filed under: china's economy — robin chen @ 7:13 am
BEIJING  – China’s currency, the yuan, was set to trade at 6.9837 yuan against the US dollar on Wednesday, a new high since the government unpegged it from the dollar in 2005.

The yuan has risen almost 4.6 percent against the dollar so far this year.

Market analysts attributed the rise to the continuing weakening of the  dollar, led by a fall in confidence in the US currency and sell-off activity.

China ended the currency’s peg to the dollar in July 2005, and since then the yuan’s reference rate has been set against a currency basket that also includes the euro, yen, won and British pound.

The value of the Chinese currency stayed above eight to the dollar for many years before the 2005 regime reform. The yuan broke the 8-yuan threshold on May 15, 2006, and the 7-yuan mark on April 10 this year.(from:chinadaily)

March 20, 2008

China’s housing prices will drop after 2008

Filed under: china's economy — robin chen @ 2:25 am

[Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao]: I have said before, China’s economy is the most difficult before. Difficulties in the international and domestic unpredictable factors, therefore the decision-making difficulties.
 
Rates acid morning and discussed the issue, I will according to their own ideas to her lectures on the current situation and stresses may be the trend of prices, look at their own unreasonable 1,10. To consider buy a house, started a good time to properly consider it.
I just guess, huh. Assessment of the economy good or bad or in the troika as a standard place, investment, consumption, foreign trade. If an economic downturn, then investment and consumption should decline.
Because of the appreciation of the renminbi formidable, and the new labor law came into effect, the PRD has a large number of labor-intensive enterprises capital. There is the release of a number of product categories trade restrictions on the technology content of the export of products with less done some restrictions, foreign trade has been shrinking is inevitable.
So, right now should be on economic performance in investment and consumption. CPI rising price level Gao Pan, will be the people’s desire to inhibit consumption, consumption will be in the doldrums. Consumer direct role in the downturn and corporate profits decline, to be used for investment to expand production funds it less.
Coupled with the bank interest rate increase has been restricted the money supply through interest rate increase, raising the deposit reserve ratio, as well as issuing central bank bills, and other means to curb market currency in circulation. Can be used for investment in the funds less. Direct role in the real estate industry is the availability of fewer loans, the funds comparatively narrow enterprises, will be at the bottom.
Suites with the second mortgage raising the threshold, speculation on prices for a number of restrictions, the real estate market, the enterprise funds because of tension, there will be selling of existing homes cash-on-hand. And to buy a house, it does not acknowledge it. Chibi wait-and-see in the majority, a conflict between supply and demand, there is more availability can not be sold, developers should be selling prices, the prices down.
when the 2008 Olympic Games end, not a gimmick price speculation, the real estate market to further worse.

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